How the predictions work

Every fixture starts from the same data: results, team statistics, line-ups, absences, referees and bookmaker prices supplied by Sportmonks. A statistical model estimates how many goals each side is likely to score, and the forecasts for every market are read from that single picture so they stay consistent with each other.

The model's view is pooled with the provider's prediction and the bookmakers' prices, weighted by how well each has done historically. Forecasts are recorded before kick-off and graded afterwards on the Results page, so the track record is public.

Probabilities describe uncertainty. They are not betting advice; please read our prediction disclaimer and responsible gambling page.