Prediction Disclaimer

FootballPlazza's predictions are probabilities produced by statistical models trained on historical match data and, where available, context such as team news, line-ups and market prices supplied by Sportmonks. A probability describes how often we would expect an outcome over many similar matches; it does not tell you what will happen in a single match. How the models work is described on the Model & data page.

Nothing on FootballPlazza is betting advice, a tip, financial advice or a recommendation to place any bet. We do not know your circumstances. Any decision you make is your own responsibility.

• Data can be late, incomplete or wrong, and late team news (injuries, rotation, weather) may not be reflected.
• Models simplify football. They can be overconfident or miss things a human would see.
• The "most likely score" is usually still unlikely; the single most likely score often has a probability below 15%.
• Small samples, new managers, promoted teams and unusual fixtures make forecasts less reliable.
• Forecasts can change before kick-off as new information arrives.

The Results page compares forecasts saved before kick-off with final scores so you can judge the model yourself. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Bookmaker prices are supplied through Sportmonks and may be delayed, differ from the price you are offered, or be withdrawn. A "value" signal only means that our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by a price. It is not a promise of profit: the model may be wrong, and bookmakers include a margin in their prices.

Crowd voting results show the opinions of members, not our forecasts or advice.

We are not responsible for any bet you place or any money you lose. If you choose to bet, please read Responsible Gambling first.