DOHA, Qatar — Japan have already made statistical historical past at this World Cup, and so they could but go away Qatar having given the sport a brand new and devastating method of taking over the highest groups and beating them.
It’s ultra-defensive and passive, however with a sting within the tail. Soccer’s model of rope-a-dope has taken Japan into the spherical of 16 and their opponents on Monday, Croatia, are exactly the sort that’s most weak to their shock ways.
Whereas Japan’s method has been profitable in Qatar, although, it’s but to win hearts and minds again house.
“Coach [Hajime] Moriyasu has achieved historic victories in opposition to Germany and Spain,” journalist Masatoshi Mori of Hochi Shimbun instructed ESPN. “However, he is taking a defensive approach in this Qatar World Cup.
“His recreation plan is 0-0 within the first half, or 0-1 at worst. It subsequently may be seen as an issue that the opponents have scored the primary aim in all three video games. Worryingly, with two profitable examples of come-from-behind victories in opposition to Germany and Spain, it’s doubtless that this method will proceed in opposition to Croatia.”
But the approach has beaten two of the favourites to win this World Cup, with four-time winners Germany eliminated as a consequence of Japan’s ability to soak up pressure and hit hard on the break.
According to Opta, since detailed World Cup records began in 1966, there have only been two instances of a team losing a game despite attempting more than 700 passes and both have happened in Qatar: the first when Germany were beaten 2-1 by Japan after recording 820 passes during their Group E opener at Khalifa International Stadium, the second when Spain, who recorded 1,070 passes, lost 2-1 at the same venue against Moriyasu’s team.
On both occasions, Japan fell behind to their well-fancied opponents and surrendered possession throughout the game, but they overturned their one-goal deficit each time to win following a brief, but frenzied, period of attack and pressure in the final third. Against Germany, two goals in eight minutes from Ritsu Doan and Takuma Asano turned the game on its head to secure a famous victory. Versus Spain, the turnaround was even quicker, with Doan and Ao Tanaka scoring two goals in three minutes to cancel out Alvaro Morata’s opener and give Japan a 2-1 lead that they held until the end of the game to enable them to win the group.
Japan’s second goal in their 2-1 win over Spain was checked by VAR to determine if the ball had gone out of play.
The video match officials used the goal line camera images to check if the ball was still partially on the line or not. pic.twitter.com/RhN8meei6Q
— FIFA.com (@FIFAcom) December 2, 2022
Spain had an incredible 78% of possession during the 90 minutes against Japan. Germany were similarly dominant, enjoying a 65% share of the ball on the pitch.
The key detail in Japan’s success on each occasion, though, was their tenacity and readiness to defend and press their opponents in every area of the pitch, led by the work rate of Daichi Kamada and Junya Ito in midfield.
Against Germany, according to official FIFA data, Japan recorded 487 defensive pressures, compared with 164 by their opponents. In the win against Spain, Japan took that number up to 637, with Luis Enrique’s players amassing just 150.
To underscore the high-pressing energy of Japan’s players, they recorded 87 forced turnovers against Germany and 85 against Spain. Quite simply, they refused to give their opponents any time to settle on the ball.
Ironically, when Japan lost 1-0 against Costa Rica in their second group game, it was the Central American team who sat back and soaked up pressure, forcing Moriyasu’s players to have much more of the ball — 48% of possession. And in terms of defensive pressures, Japan’s number dropped to 300, just six more than Costa Rica, and they only managed 47 forced turnovers.
Croatia are a team cut from the same cloth as Spain, though, with playmaker Luka Modric orchestrating play from midfield and ensuring that the 2018 World Cup runners-up dominate possession and pin opponents back. So Japan’s tried-and-tested approach, which proved the downfall of Germany and Spain, seems perfectly designed to catch Croatia out too.
“Our first priority was to not concede any goals, followed closely by trying to score as many goals as possible,” Moriyasu stated after the Spain victory. “The players who came out in the first half tried to achieve our first priority. This I believe helped lead to the victory in the second half.”
Regardless of Japan’s success in Qatar, coach Moriyasu divides opinion within the nation due to what’s perceived to be a unfavorable method that fails to harness the extra artistic expertise at his disposal. Celtic pair Reo Hatate and Kyogo Furuhashi had been each surprisingly omitted from Japan’s squad, however ends in Qatar have justified Moriyasu’s picks.
Nonetheless, there’s a concern in Japan that Moriyasu’s safety-first method will work in opposition to the workforce within the knockout stage.
“Moriyasu has been criticized for his passive attitude, as he has been late in making substitutions at key points, so these tendencies leave us uneasy on the tournament stage,” Masatoshi stated. “The media has questioned Moriyasu’s choice of choosing Daizen Maeda over Furuhashi. It is because Maeda is a centre-forward player who applies pressure and contributes in defence and this choice also reveals Moriyasu’s defensive strategy tendencies.”
However whereas Moriyasu’s Japan are extra pragmatic and cautious than earlier groups, who’ve borne hallmarks of the deep-rooted Brazilian affect in Japanese soccer, this facet is profitable and beating the strongest opponents. Japan are one win away from reaching the quarterfinals for the primary time and so they simply might need the proper recreation plan to do it.