Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Friday Picks – May nineteenth
Main horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Publish, Racing Publish Weekender, Racing & Soccer Outlook and the GG.co.uk web site. Andrew makes use of stats and techniques to search out worth bets and shares his newest ideas under.
Andrew heads to Newmarket, York, Leopardstown and Hamilton for his 4 stats-based picks on Friday, May nineteenth. Observe his suggestions this week and all yr spherical on horse racing betting websites with the lowdown on his newest picks under:
THEATRE HONOURS (system – Charlie Appleby, gelded 3yo newcomers)
For the reason that starting of 2017, Charlie Appleby has a 19 from 62 document along with his gelded three-year-old newcomers (30.7% strike-rate) for a revenue of £21.54 to a £1 degree stake at SP. On turf solely, the strike-rate improves to 32.1% (9 from 28) for a revenue of £25.27. THEATRE HONOURS, a son of Kingman, could possibly be as much as making a successful debut.
NEW BUSINESS (system – Andrew Balding, second-time out 3yos, high three end on debut)
For the reason that spring of 2016, Andrew Balding is 28 from 72 (38.9% strike-rate) along with his second-time out three-year-olds who completed within the high three on their debut and backing them blind would have returned a revenue of £15.67 to the standard £1 stake. NEW BUSINESS, third to Passenger (very unfortunate within the Dante Stakes yesterday) within the Wooden Ditton, can reverse the shape with Kathab, runner-up in that 1m Newmarket contest.
MARINER (system – Kingman colts, 7f+, 2yo debut, turf)
Kingman colts make good bets on their juvenile debuts, supplied they’re operating over 7f or additional on turf. Backing the qualifiers blind would have discovered 19 winners from 77 bets (24.7% strike-rate) for a revenue of £69.45 to a £1 degree stake at SP. Johnny Murtagh’s MARINER, a 200,000 euros purchase, is taken to make a successful debut for his shrewd homeowners.
EARN YOUR STRIPES (system – 6f draw bias, Hamilton)
Low attracts have loved an enormous edge in 6f races at Hamilton of late, with stalls 1, 2 or 3 touchdown 24 of the 105 such races for the reason that begin of final season for an enormous revenue of £248.74 to a £1 degree stake at SP. EARN YOUR STRIPES seems to be effectively drawn in stall 3 of 12 on this 0-55 handicap and his three runs right here have produced a 250-1 novice third (6f), 13-2 promoting handicap win (13-2) and a 9-2 neck second in a 5f handicap. I’ll in all probability save on the stall 1 and stall 2 runners – BANNER ROAD and STRONSAY – and mix the trio in a mix forecast.
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