Premier League Handicap: How groups look with the window closed and the primary leads to


The switch window is closed, and all Premier League golf equipment now know the squads that should get them by means of the primary 20 rounds of the season.

For some it was a frantic finish to their summer season enterprise, and Chelsea for one continued to signal gamers; for others, corresponding to Arsenal, incoming transfers had been wrapped up early in the summertime.

Signings and outcomes can change perceptions in fact, so followers who had been fearing the worst only a month in the past would possibly now be relishing the return after the worldwide break. For that, simply ask supporters of Tottenham, West Ham and Nottingham Forest. And for others (look away, Manchester United supporters), negativity is beginning to creep in.

Earlier than a ball was kicked, we appeared on the prospects of every membership. How was their squad wanting? The place did they should strengthen? What had been the expectations for the marketing campaign?

A month on, we assess each membership, bearing in mind any remaining transfers and the outcomes of the primary 4 weekends.

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How the Handicap works

Is it a prediction article? Not fairly. That is about how groups look at the moment in comparison with a month in the past. Importantly, we’re not saying that is how the league desk will end — however quite how a crew’s prospects might have modified since Aug. 7, when the unique article was revealed.

As an illustration, do Wolves now have a purpose scorer? And do Forest have a first-choice goalkeeper?

Pep Guardiola’s Manchester Metropolis crew obtain the bottom degree of 0, and everybody else performs catch-up. The record reveals what number of factors every membership is behind Metropolis relying on how their begin to the season has gone, and the way efficient their switch window was.

Is Manchester United’s preseason goal of a snug top-four end now doubtful? And has Chelsea’s newest splurge on new gamers made any distinction?

Final season’s remaining league place: 1
Present league place: 1

Metropolis immediately look stronger than ever

There was some extent throughout the summer season when you possibly can have argued that Manchester Metropolis‘s squad was weaker than the one which received the treble, following the departures of Ilkay Gündogan and Riyad Mahrez, however that is not the case now.

They acted rapidly to signal Jérémy Doku (£55m, Stade Rennais) and Matheus Nunes (£53m, Wolves), including to Mateo Kovacic (£25m, Chelsea) and Josko Gvardiol (£77m, RB Leipzig). Even with Kevin De Bruyne out for an prolonged interval, they’re nonetheless the crew to beat at dwelling and overseas.

4 wins from 4 within the Premier League has already put them heading in the right direction for a fourth title in a row. — Rob Dawson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? No, Metropolis are nonetheless everybody’s title favourites.

2. Arsenal -8 factors
(begin of season: 2nd, -1)

Final season’s remaining league place: 2
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 5
Present league place: 5

Damage blow, however causes to be constructive

Dropping new signing Jurriën Timber (£34m, Ajax) to a knee harm for almost all of the season left Arsenal scrambling on the finish of the window.

Their makes an attempt to signal a substitute had been predicated upon transferring on different gamers to liberate money and a spot within the squad however they struggled till very late within the window. Ripping up Nicolas Pépé‘s contract with a 12 months remaining to permit him to affix Trabzonspor on a free switch, writing off the £72m they spent 4 years in the past, says all of it. David Raya, signed on mortgage from Brentford for the season so as to add competitors for Aaron Ramsdale, was the one current addition.

Arsenal haven’t been at their perfect to this point however 10 factors from a attainable 12 and a promising begin for report signing Declan Rice (£100m, West Ham) suggests a title problem needs to be inside their grasp. — James Olley

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Nonetheless anticipated to problem, however Man Metropolis look stronger than a month in the past.

3. Liverpool -9 factors
(begin of season: sixth, -22)

Final season’s remaining league place: 5
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 22
Present league place: 3

Salah stays, and Liverpool begin strongly

The sudden exits of Jordan Henderson and Fabinho to the Saudi Professional League left Liverpool scrambling for midfield additions throughout the remaining month of the window; they missed out on prime targets Moisés Caicedo and Southampton teenager Romeo Lavia, each to Chelsea.

Wataru Endo (£16m) and Ryan Gravenberch (£34m) finally arrived, from Stuttgart and Bayern Munich respectively, to plug the gaps. The largest information of the window for Liverpool, nonetheless, was rejecting Al Ittihad’s £150m deadline-day supply for Mohamed Salah.

Transplanting a complete midfield unit in a single summer season is a raffle by supervisor Jurgen Klopp, however he had little possibility. At the very least that they had moved rapidly in the summertime to signal Alexis Mac Allister (£35m) from Brighton and RB Leipzig’s Dominik Szoboszlai (£60m),

Liverpool have the depth to compete and their defence and attacking shops stay robust, so the membership emerged within the constructive from a troublesome summer season. — Mark Ogden

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Liverpool have began effectively, with 10 factors from a attainable 12, and will as soon as once more show to be Manchester Metropolis’s largest home rivals.

4. Tottenham Hotspur -18 factors
(begin of season: eighth, -27)

Final season’s remaining league place: 8
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 29
Present league place: 2

Harry who?

Dropping Harry Kane to Bayern Munich may have solid a shadow over Tottenham’s season however their begin beneath Ange Postecoglou has reinvigorated a beforehand disgruntled fanbase.

Three wins and 11 targets scored with new arrival James Maddison (£40m, Leicester) glowing in a remodelled assault bodes effectively for the more durable challenges which lie forward.

Chairman Daniel Levy has a status for last-minute enterprise and a deadline-day transfer for Brennan Johnson (£47m) from Nottingham Forest provides additional pleasure, though curiosity in Chelsea’s Conor Gallagher and Bournemouth defender Lloyd Kelly got here too late within the day.

There’s a suspicion Spurs stay susceptible defensively however Postecoglou has many Tottenham followers believing the post-Kane period is nothing to concern. — Olley

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Positivity has changed negativity in spades, and Spurs may problem for the highest 4 based mostly on their begin.

Final season’s remaining league place: 6
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 27
Present league place: 6

Do Brighton have sufficient to make prime 4?

Anybody who thought Brighton would wrestle after the departures of Mac Allister and Caicedo must rethink their predictions, as a result of the Seagulls look simply nearly as good as they did final season. If the 18-year-old Evan Ferguson continues his wonderful begin — he is scored 4 targets, together with a hat trick in opposition to Newcastle — the Seagulls may have the targets to knock on the door of the highest 4.

Ansu Fati is an eye catching mortgage signing from Barcelona, whereas the arrival of 19-year-old midfielder Carlos Baleba (£23m) from Lille is additional proof of a membership that plans forward. Germany worldwide Mahmoud Dahoud had already arrived on a free switch from Borussia Dortmund.

The midfield rebuild is full, Brighton sit sixth having received three of their 4 fixtures and they’re the highest scorers within the division — forward of Man Metropolis and Spurs. The house loss to a resurgent West Ham was a shock blip, however the early proof suggests Roberto De Zerbi’s crew will certainly be within the battle for the European locations once more — although a first-ever marketing campaign within the UEFA Europa League presents unknown challenges. — Dale Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Brighton are turning into everybody’s second-favourite crew with the best way they play, they usually appear to be defying each prediction after a participant leaves.

6. Manchester United -23 factors
(begin of season: third, -12)

Final season’s remaining league place: 3
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 14
Present league place: 11

Issues develop after stuttering begin

The largest query mark after United’s summer season enterprise is whether or not Rasmus Hojlund (£64m, Atalanta), at 20 years outdated, may be the person to attain the targets that had been lacking from Erik ten Hag’s crew final season.

The optimism after Ten Hag’s first marketing campaign has disappeared after an underwhelming begin and there are already fears amongst followers that this season will wrestle to construct on the progress achieved final 12 months.

United began slowly final season and turned it round so it is not panic stations simply but, however they should begin increase some momentum rapidly to regular the ship.

However, with Jadon Sancho at loggerheads with the teaching workers and Antony unavailable for choice, Ten Hag’s attacking choices have dwindled. — Dawson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Preseason confidence has actually been drained and they should flip the nook.

7. Newcastle United -28 factors
(begin of season: fifth, -19)

Final season’s remaining league place: 4
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 28
Present league place: 14

Poor begin hasn’t lowered expectations

It was a quiet finish to the window for Newcastle, with solely Lewis Corridor transferring to St James’ Park after the beginning of the season. The Chelsea left-back was signed to bolster defensive choices, however there have been no different important additions to the squad.

Monetary truthful play restrictions hampered Newcastle’s means to signal a number of gamers throughout the switch window, so solely Sandro Tonali (£55m, AC Milan), Valentino Livramento (£32m, Southampton) and Harvey Barnes (£38m, Leicester) had been introduced in for the first-team squad previous to Corridor’s arrival. Newcastle arguably overperformed with a shallow squad final season they usually nonetheless look brief on depth and high quality after their summer season enterprise, which could possibly be a fear heading right into a Champions League marketing campaign.

Newcastle have made a woeful begin to the season, dropping three of their 4 league video games, they usually have additionally been given a troublesome Champions League group alongside Paris Saint-Germain, AC Milan and Borussia Dortmund. And their first probability of a trophy within the Carabao Cup has been made a lot more durable by drawing Manchester Metropolis within the third spherical. — Ogden

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Expectations of Howe and his crew repeating final season’s top-four end stay, however they’re now combating an uphill battle to attain that.

8. West Ham United -29 factors
(begin of season: fifteenth, -47)

Final season’s remaining league place: 14
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 49
Present league place: 4

Concern turns to hope after very good begin

What a distinction a month makes. A number of days earlier than the season began, West Ham had misplaced Declan Rice and hadn’t signed a single participant. Followers had been beginning to query boss David Moyes, despite the fact that he received the Europa Convention League. Fears had been that final season’s struggles within the Premier League would solely worsen.

After which West Ham signed Edson Álvarez (£35m) from Ajax and James Ward-Prowse (£30m) from relegated Southampton. Then adopted centre-back Konstantinos Mavropanos (£19m) from VfB Stuttgart and the thrilling Ghanaian ahead Mohammed Kudus (£35m), additionally from Ajax.

The Hammers have received three of their first 4 matches, together with victories in opposition to Chelsea and Brighton, to take a seat fourth within the desk. Moyes nonetheless has to totally combine all his new signings, and all that preseason negativity has been forgotten.

If ever there is a case research in how to not decide a membership earlier than a ball has been kicked and the switch window has closed, that is it. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? You wager. A month in the past you’d have discovered West Ham followers betting on relegation; now they are going to count on a top-half end — no less than.

9. Aston Villa -30 factors
(begin of season: 4th, -18)

Final season’s remaining league place: 7
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 28
Present league place: 10

Ready for the brand new signings to mattress in

Villa might sit in midtable in the mean time, however they are going to nonetheless really feel happy with their begin and their summer season enterprise with extra beneficial fixtures to return.

With loanees Clément Lenglet and Nicolò Zaniolo added to earlier summer season signings Pau Torres (£31.5m, Villarreal), Youri Tielemans (free, Leicester) Moussa Diaby (£51m, Bayer Leverkusen), Villa have a squad that appears able to balancing the calls for of UEFA Europa Convention League soccer, too. Diaby particularly has had a wonderful begin. Philippe Coutinho‘s inauspicious keep within the Midlands is over after he headed to Qatari champions Al Duhail for the season.

The heavy defeats at Newcastle and Liverpool could also be trigger for concern, as these are the golf equipment Villa should problem if they’re to complete increased than seventh this season. So maybe the early-season goals of battling for a spot within the Champions League might show to be ambitions too lofty. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Preseason speak of a tilt on the prime 4 was in all probability untimely.

10. Chelsea -31 factors
(begin of season: seventh, -25)

Final season’s remaining league place: 12
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 45
Present league place: 12

Will the actual Chelsea please get up?

Chelsea clearly could not go just a few weeks of a switch window with out signing somebody, and the ultimate few weeks noticed strikes accomplished for Caicedo (£115m), Lavia (£58m), Deivid Washington (£17m, Santos), Djordje Petrovic (£12.5m, New England) and Cole Palmer (£40m, Man Metropolis).

There are doubts about 4 of these 5: Lavia nonetheless wants time to construct up his health, Washington might go on mortgage, Petrovic is a backup goalkeeper to Robert Sánchez (£25m, Brighton) and Palmer is vastly promising however solely has three Premier League begins to his title at Metropolis.

After a very staggering summer season of spending wherein Chelsea surpassed the £1 billion mark beneath the Todd Boehly/Clearlake Capital possession, the emphasis now shifts onto new supervisor Mauricio Pochettino and his means to mould this group of people right into a crew. There have been promising indicators, however a house defeat to Nottingham Forest and one win from 4 video games underlines the powerful job forward. Nobody actually is aware of what this Chelsea will change into — Olley

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? An inconsistent begin suggests the probabilities of ending close to the highest of the desk this season are slim.

11. Crystal Palace -39 factors
(begin of season: eleventh, -39)

Final season’s remaining league place: 11
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 44
Present league place: 7

Eagles begin effectively, and look ready

Palace’s finest little bit of enterprise as the times ticked down on the switch window was to get Michael Olise to signal a brand new four-year contract when he appeared destined to affix Chelsea, who had triggered his launch clause.

Boss Roy Hodgson managed to maintain maintain of all of his key gamers, save for Wilfried Zaha, who left on a free switch when his deal expired earlier in the summertime. Goalkeeper Dean Henderson, signed from Man United for £20m, was the one arrival of be aware after the season began.

Palace sit seventh after successful two of their first 4 matches, with their solely loss coming at dwelling to Arsenal. Hodgson might not have rung the adjustments, although followers are ready to see Brazilian attacking midfielder Matheus França (£20m, Flamengo). Palace look a strong midtable outfit. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Under no circumstances, which in some ways is an efficient factor because it means the celebrities are nonetheless at Selhurst.

12. Nottingham Forest -44 factors
(begin of season: 18th, -52)

Final season’s remaining league place: 16
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 51
Present league place: 9

All change once more on the Metropolis Floor

Forest’s switch enterprise was comparatively modest by their requirements when the season kicked off, so that they went and signed 10 gamers within the remaining week of the window!

After an awesome begin, Forest sit in ninth place. They received at Chelsea and at dwelling to Sheffield United, however had they not thrown away an early two-goal result in lose at Man United and narrowly misplaced at Arsenal, they might have been even increased within the desk.

Factor is, the crew that picked up these factors would possibly now be fully totally different, with Argentina World Cup winner Gonzalo Montiel, AC Milan striker Divock Origi and Chelsea starlet Andrey Santos all arriving on mortgage. Matt Turner (£7m) additionally switched from Arsenal to grow to be Steve Cooper’s new No. 1.

Lots for Forest followers to be optimistic about, in the event that they have not modified an excessive amount of too quickly. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? A a lot stronger squad and an awesome begin imply Forest won’t should look over their shoulders this season in spite of everything.

13. Brentford -47 factors
(begin of season: thirteenth, -41)

Final season’s remaining league place: 9
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 30
Present league place: 8

No Toney, no drawback?

Nobody fairly knew what to make of Brentford earlier than the season began. With star striker Ivan Toney, who scored 20 Premier League targets final season, suspended till Jan. 16 after breaking FA guidelines associated to playing, the Bees opted in opposition to signing a substitute (although Neal Maupay returned to the membership on mortgage so as to add depth.) The outcome? The Bees’ best-ever begin to a Premier League season, unbeaten on six factors.

Objectives have not been an issue as but, although they’ve drawn all three dwelling video games in opposition to Spurs, Palace and Bournemouth.

Supervisor Thomas Frank signed no one among be aware after the beginning of the season, so Brentford successfully determined to go along with what that they had. The indicators are that they are going to be OK this season, although in all probability in unremarkable style. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Sure and no. The Bees have had a promising-enough begin, although they have not performed something to counsel they’ll match final season’s remaining place, having drawn all three dwelling video games.

14. AFC Bournemouth -49 factors
(begin of season: 14th, -45)

Final season’s remaining league place: 15
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 50
Present league place: 16

Sluggish begin leaves considerations for Cherries

Bournemouth launched into an entire overhaul of their squad this summer season beneath new boss Andoni Iraola, who’s one thing of an unknown amount after arriving from Rayo Vallecano.

Iraola had already signed Justin Kluivert (£10m) from AS Roma and Hamed Traore (£20m) from Sassuolo, and their enterprise after the season kicked off has undoubtedly left them in a stronger place. Alex Scott (£25m, Bristol Metropolis), Max Aarons (£7m, Norwich Metropolis) and USMNT star Tyler Adams (£23m, Leeds United) have been introduced in, alongside loanee Luis Sinisterra, additionally from Leeds.

For all that, Bournemouth have but to win this season, with two factors from 4 video games — although they’ve needed to play Liverpool and Spurs. It does not get any simpler after the worldwide break, with Chelsea, Brighton and Arsenal subsequent to return.

The Cherries have spent round £113m on new gamers, although Adams, Scott and Sinisterra are but to characteristic, and as but there is not any signal of an efficient crew. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? It is in all probability nonetheless across the similar, decrease midtable, however the Cherries are one thing of an unknown amount — for good or for unhealthy.

15. Burnley -53 factors
(begin of season: twelfth, -40)

Final season’s remaining league place: Promoted to Premier League
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: N/A
Present league place: 20

Preseason optimism misplaced in an avalanche of targets

Burnley at all times knew they confronted a really troublesome return to the Premier League, taking up Man Metropolis, Aston Villa and Spurs of their opening video games. However three heavy dwelling losses — they’ve conceded 11 targets — go away them enjoying catch-up; Man United, Newcastle and Chelsea are to return of their subsequent 5 fixtures. At the very least they realize it has to get simpler after that … however their destiny as relegation strugglers may already be sealed by then.

Of the three promoted golf equipment they nonetheless look to be the best-equipped to keep away from an instantaneous return to the Championship. However Vincent Kompany introduced in 15 new gamers over the summer season to make the Clarets aggressive, and he faces a serious job to gel them into an efficient unit. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Many felt Burnley would simply be protected this season, however now they want outcomes to point out that religion was warranted.

16. Fulham -54 factors
(begin of season: tenth, -38)

Final season’s remaining league place: 10
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 37
Present league place: 13

Objectives might be an issue for Mitro-less Cottagers

It wasn’t a really blissful summer season for Fulham. They managed to carry on to boss Marco Silva amid curiosity from Saudi Arabia, however he nonetheless hasn’t signed an extension to his contract, which ends in 10 months. However striker Aleksandar Mitrovic, who scored 14 targets in 24 video games final season, made it clear he needed to affix Al Hilal.

Changing Mitrovic’s targets might be troublesome, particularly as Fulham have solely introduced in Mexico striker Raul Jimenez (£5m) and Adama Traoré (free) from Wolves to enhance their attacking choices. At the very least they nonetheless have João Palhinha, who noticed his transfer to Bayern Munich collapse … no less than till January.

Fulham sit thirteenth, with their one successful coming at Everton; solely the underside three have scored fewer targets, and simply backside membership Burnley have conceded extra. Different golf equipment have extra worries, but it surely’s troublesome to search out an excessive amount of to be constructive about now that the window has closed. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Fulham are removed from protected from a season of wrestle after Mitrovic’s departure.

17. Everton -57 factors
(begin of season: sixteenth, -48)

Final season’s remaining league place: 17
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 53
Present league place: 18

Is Beto ok to save lots of Everton?

Everton followers’ preseason fears had been realised once they failed to attain of their first three fixtures, dropping at dwelling to Fulham and Wolves and being thrashed 4-0 at Villa. At the very least they acquired on the board with a 2-2 draw at Sheffield United, however that may barely be any consolation.

Sean Dyche has signed two Portuguese forwards, Youssef Chermiti (£13m, Sporting CP) and Beto (£26m, Udinese) to attempt to repair the scoring issues. The unpredictable Beto could also be their finest hope, as he achieved double figures in every of the previous two Serie A seasons. Jack Harrison has joined on mortgage from Leeds so as to add extra creativity, after Arnaut Danjuma arrived from Villarreal earlier in the summertime.

The Toffees discover themselves within the relegation zone after 4 matches, they usually’ve proven nothing to counsel something apart from one other battle in opposition to the drop beckons. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? No. Everybody knew Everton had nobody to attain any targets, and the proof is that they nonetheless do not.

Final season’s remaining league place: 13
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: 48
Present league place: 15

Wolves verify fears of a season of wrestle

Coach Julen Lopetegui jumped ship at the beginning of the season when it grew to become clear restricted funds can be accessible to strengthen a squad brief on high quality, with Gary O’Neil introduced in with the remit of reproducing his rescue job at Bournemouth final season.

After being controversially overwhelmed at Man United on the opening weekend, Wolves’ solely factors got here by means of a late win at Everton. A 4-1 dwelling defeat to Brighton and a loss at Palace do not bode effectively for O’Neil, and rather a lot might relaxation on striker Sasa Kalajdzic — signed from VfB Stuttgart 12 months in the past however who missed nearly the entire of 2022-23 with a critical harm.

Kalajdzic scored the winner at Goodison Park, and with no different attacking reinforcements earlier than the window closed, Wolves will want a return on the £15m they paid for the Austria worldwide if they’re to remain up. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? The outcomes let you know it hasn’t. Wolves face a season-long battle to stay within the prime flight.

19. Sheffield United -63 factors
(begin of season: seventeenth, -49)

Final season’s remaining league place: Promoted to Premier League
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: N/A
Present league place: seventeenth

Skinny squad might wrestle to compete

Sheffield United suffered an enormous blow on the eve of the brand new season when key midfielder Sander Berge left for relegation rivals Burnley, although they did strengthen with Gustavo Hamer (£15m) transferring from Coventry Metropolis and Cameron Archer (£18.5m) from Villa. Each new arrivals have netted within the opening weeks of the season, but the Blades nonetheless have just one level to point out for his or her efforts.

Luke Thomas (Leicester) and James McAtee (Man Metropolis) have joined the membership on mortgage for the season, however the squad seems brief on high quality and depth. Up subsequent? Tottenham, Newcastle, West Ham, Man United and Arsenal of their subsequent six fixtures. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? With little cash to spend and their finest participant gone, if something the Blades’ prospects have worsened up to now month.

20. Luton City -66 factors
(begin of season: twentieth, -61)

Final season’s remaining league place: Promoted to Premier League
Factors behind Man Metropolis final season: N/A
Present league place: 19

Few shiny spots as Luton keep financially prudent

Luton had been by no means going to throw cash on the Premier League, preferring to spend money on their squad for the longer term.

The mortgage signing of Albert Lokonga from Arsenal and the seize of free agent, and former England worldwide, Ross Barkley had been probably the most eye-catching items of enterprise over the previous month.

The Hatters have misplaced all three of their opening fixtures, to Brighton, Chelsea and West Ham. It is actually not been the best of begins, although there have been few indicators of promise.

It is Fulham, Wolves, Everton and Burnley up subsequent, and after these 4 video games we’ll have a fairly good thought if coach Rob Edwards has any hope of retaining the crew within the prime division. — Johnson

HAS THE OUTLOOK CHANGED? Luton have proven nothing within the opening month to defy the predictions of an instantaneous return to the EFL.

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