ITV Horse Racing Trends: Saturday Stats For Newbury & Newmarket On Lockinge Stakes Day

By admin Last updated May 19, 2023

You should use our ITV horse racing traits to slender down the seek for the winners for the LIVE ITV motion at Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday – which embrace the Group One Lockinge Stakes (3:35pm). These our key horse racing stats to whittle the runners to search out the perfect profiles primarily based on previous winners of the races.

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ITV Racing Trends and Stats for Saturday twentieth Could 2023

After a busy week at York there is no such thing as a let-up for the ITV horse racing cameras as they head to Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday to soak up seven extra races that embrace the Group One Lockinge Stakes (3:35) at Newbury.

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Newbury ITV Horse Racing Trends: Reside ITV Racing Stats for Saturday twentieth Could 2023

1.50 – BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

This race has not been too dangerous a contest for the market chief – with 39% of the final 18 successful, whereas 13 of the final 18 jollies have been positioned – excellent news for the possible favourites Noble Type.

Horses from stall 5 or decrease have an excellent file too, so Desert Cop, Rabaah, Woman Hamana, Rousing Encore and Shaquille have this Newbury pattern on their aspect.

However simply outdoors that draw stat is the already talked about Noble Type, who ran a blinder to be sixth within the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket final day trip. This Godolphin 3 year-old simply appeared to expire of petrol that day so the drop again to 6f right here shall be an enormous assist for final season’s Gimcrack winner.

16/18 – Had gained over 6f earlier than
15/18 – Had between 1-3 earlier wins
15/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or decrease
14/18 – Had raced within the final 5 weeks
13/18 – Favourites that completed within the high 3
13/18 – Returned 9/2 or shorter within the betting
12/18 – Positioned 1^st or 2^nd final day trip
7/18 – Successful favourites
6/18 – Raced at Newmarket final day trip
5/18 – Received final day trip
3/18 – Drawn in stall 3
3/18 – Educated by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Educated by William Haggas (2 of the final 8)
7 of the final 9 winners got here from stalls 2-5 (inc)

2.25 – Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

One other good race for the horses draw low, with 14 of the final 19 winners coming from stalls 4 or decrease – excellent news for Gaassee, Outdated Harrovian, Haskoy and Israr.

The favourites even have an honest file – successful 37% of the final 19 and being positioned in 69%, plus additionally search for horses within the high three within the betting as they’ve gained 84%.

Yibir is the possible favorite for Godolphin, however an opportunity is taken on St Leger 4th Haskoy with the drop again to 1m4f – a visit he’s 2-from-2 over, a plus. Frankie Dettori rides.

18/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter within the betting
16/19 – Got here from the highest 3 within the betting
16/19 – Had gained over not less than 1m4f earlier than
14/19 – Drawn 4 or decrease
14/19 – Had run at Newbury earlier than
14/19 – Had gained at Listed or Group class earlier than
13/19 – Positioned favourites
13/19 – Had raced inside the final 7 weeks
11/19 – Irish bred
10/19 – Had gained between 1-3 occasions earlier than
9/19 – Aged 4 years-old
7/19 – Successful favourites
5/19 – Educated by Sir Michael Stoute
4/19 – Ran at Newmarket final day trip
4/19 – Received final day trip
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Educated by William Haggas (the final 2)
3 of the final 14 winners have been Godolphin-owned

3.00 – BetVictor London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

Being positioned within the high three final day trip is a plus with 84% of the final 19 successful, whereas the identical quantity carried 8-10 or extra in weight. With 74% of the final 19 successful horses additionally coming from stalls 8 or decrease and 79% racing within the final 5 weeks – we will mix these key Newbury traits.

No horse ticks all of them, however when you can forgive the draw stat over this 1m2f journey, then the Aidan O’Brien runner – Bertinelli (10) – who was a pleasant second at Cork final time ought to strip fitter this time and truly nonetheless holds an Epsom Derby entry.

18/19 – Had gained between 1-2 occasions earlier than
16/19 – Completed within the high 3 final day trip
16/19 – Carried 8-10 or extra
15/19 – Rated 90 or decrease
15/19 – Had raced inside the final 5 weeks
14/19 – Winners from stall 8 or decrease
13/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter within the betting
10/19 – Got here from the highest 3 within the betting
9/19 – Received final day trip
9/19 – Had gained over 1m2f earlier than
7/19 – Irish bred
6/19 – Raced at Newbury earlier than (2 gained right here)
6/19 – Successful favourites
4/19 – Educated by Roger Charlton
3/19 – Educated by Mark Johnston
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Educated by Sir Michael Stoute

3.35 – Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Collection) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

Punters haven’t needed to hunt far down the betting market to search out the winner of the Lockinge in reecnt years – 84% of the final 19 winners got here from the highest 3 within the betting. Being drawn between 3-7 has seen 15 of the final 19 winners too, whereas 4 year-olds have dominated when trying on the age.

Godolphin Have A Prime Lockinge Stakes Document

Godolphin’s constant Fashionable Video games, who gained the Breeders’ Cup Mile final season, ticks most – barred having a excessive draw and is the joint top-rated within the discipline with My Prospero. Godolphin even have a high file on this race – successful 5 of the final 19. However an opportunity is taken on the Frankie Dettori-ridden Laurel.

This Gosden runner has gained 3 of her 4 begins up to now along with her solely defeat an in depth second within the Solar Chariot Stakes at HQ final October. She returned this season with a straightforward Listed win at Kempton on the AW, whereas a low attract 5 and getting a useful 4lbs from the boys additional provides to her likelihood.

19/19 – Received over a mile earlier than
16/19 – Got here from the highest 3 within the betting
15/19 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
15/19 – Returned 4/1 or shorter within the betting
15/19 – Had gained a Group One race earlier than
14/19 – Aged 4 years-old
14/19 – Had gained not less than 4 occasions earlier than
13/19 – Successful favourites
11/19 – Having their first run of the season
10/19 – Unplaced final day trip
5/19 – Godolphin owned
4/19 – Received by the Richard Hannon yard (Has gained the race 5 occasions in all)
4/19 – Received by a mare
4/19 – Ran at Newmarket final day trip
3/19 – Received by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (gained it 5 occasions in all)
3/19 – Received by coach Sir Michael Stoute (has gained the race 8 occasions in all)
1/19 – Winners from stall 1 or 2

Newmarket ITV Horse Racing Trends: Reside ITV Racing Stats for Saturday twentieth Could 2023

2.05 – Aspall Cyder 1728 Handicap Cl4 (3yo 0-85) 1m ITV

ALL of the final 7 winners of this race completed within the high 4 final day trip, with 6 of these coming third or higher. We are able to additionally search for horses that ran within the final 3 weeks and likewise got here between stalls 6-10 and rated between 75 and 84.

Combining these major Newmarket stats recommend the Charlton runner Acotango, who was a good second at Haydock final day trip and the William Haggas runner Good Gracious are worthy of a second look.

7/7 – Prime 4 end final day trip
6/7 – Carried 9-0 or extra in weight
6/7 – Ran within the final 3 weeks
6/7 – Prime 3 end final day trip
5/7 – Rated between 75-84 (inc)
5/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter within the betting
5/7 – Got here between stalls 6-10 (inc)
4/7 – Had gained over a mile earlier than
4/7 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 6 (2)
3/7 – Received final day trip
3/7 – Successful favourites
2/7 – Ridden by an apprentice

2.40 – Aspall Suffolk Draught Cyder Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

With 68% of the final 19 winners carrying 8-12 or extra and 14 of the final 19 positioned within the high 3 final day trip, these are good stats to take into this 6f handicap.

We’ve additionally seen 79% of winners come between stalls 1-8 and 6 of the final 8 between 5-8. Washington Heights, for the Kevin Ryan yard, appears to have most of those major traits on his aspect.

19/19 – Had gained between 1-3 occasions earlier than
16/19 – Raced inside the final 6 weeks
15/19 – Had gained over 6f earlier than
15/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter within the betting
14/19 – Completed 1^st, 2^nd or 3^rd final day trip
13/19 – Carried 8-12 or extra
12/19 – Favourites positioned within the high 4
12/19 – Rated between 91-96
12/19 – Got here from the highest 3 within the betting
10/19 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) earlier than
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket final day trip
5/19 – Received final day trip
5/19 – Successful favourites
3/19 – Received by a mare/filly
3/19 – Received by the Kremlin Home (Varian) secure
2/19 – Educated by Richard Fahey
11 of the final 14 winners got here from stalls 1-8
10 of the final 14 winners got here between stalls 3-7
6 of the final 8 winners got here between stalls 5-8
The common successful SP within the final 9 runnings is 15/2

3.50 – Aspall Blush Cyder Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

With ALL of the final 6 winners carrying 8-12 or extra in weight, then this may be a unfavourable for Persuasion and Chola Empire.

Whereas regardless of having 5 of the final 6 favourites positioned – we’ve solely had one successful market chief. In what seems a trappy race with circumstances to be made for many, the Haggas and Becket runners – Montassib and Star Of Orion are chanced.

6/6 – Aged 4 or 6 years previous
6/6 – Received over not less than 7f earlier than
6/6 – Received 2+ occasions earlier than
6/6 – Carried 8-12 or extra in weight
5/6 – Positioned favourites
5/6 – Rated between 85-91
5/6 – Drawn between stalls 1-7 (inc)
4/6 – Didn’t win final day trip
3/6 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) earlier than
2/6 – Ridden by William Buick
1/6 – Successful favourites

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